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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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the gallup poll, for instance, has romney doing five points better. other polls have that a little smaller. so it seems like obama would even today win an election if everyone registered to vote turned out or certainly all adults. but based on the republican enthusiasm advantage and some democrats, i think, feeling a little disupon dent after the pr performance in denver last week, that alone might be enough to push romney over the top. >> the special way that you sort of distill the candidate's chances at 538, your now cast factors in not just polling but also economic data and other measures that you think give you a percentage chance that one of the two candidates will win the election. what's the percentage chance you have for each of the candidates and has that changed less than the national polls changed? >> the percentage is a 70/30 advantage for obama. which, by the way, if you go to vegas or offshore versions of vegas, you can bet at about those odds. obama is a 70% favorite. but my site had obama as an 85% favorite before the debate. means r
the gallup poll, for instance, has romney doing five points better. other polls have that a little smaller. so it seems like obama would even today win an election if everyone registered to vote turned out or certainly all adults. but based on the republican enthusiasm advantage and some democrats, i think, feeling a little disupon dent after the pr performance in denver last week, that alone might be enough to push romney over the top. >> the special way that you sort of distill the...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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two of them show mitt romney leading. the website realclearpolitics does an average of all the polling on colorado, and their average right now has president obama up in colorado by 0.6%. 0.6. which means that the race for president in colorado is a tie right now. this is a person whose job it is to oversee elections in colorado. guy at the podium there. this is the person who largely decides how easy or how difficult to make voting in colorado. he is the person to decide whether or how to count the votes. he is the top elections official in a very close swing state. and you should get to know him. that's coming up. ♪ i'd do anything for you, dear ♪ ♪ anything, yes, i'd do anything ♪ ♪ anything for you ♪ >>> how come paul ryan doesn't take questions from the press anymore? for a while there the republican vice presidential nominee, paul ryan, was giving two, three, four local tv interviews every day, talking to local tv reporters in the swing states with essentially his job on the campaign. after mr. ryan was
two of them show mitt romney leading. the website realclearpolitics does an average of all the polling on colorado, and their average right now has president obama up in colorado by 0.6%. 0.6. which means that the race for president in colorado is a tie right now. this is a person whose job it is to oversee elections in colorado. guy at the podium there. this is the person who largely decides how easy or how difficult to make voting in colorado. he is the person to decide whether or how to...
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May 26, 2012
05/12
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. >> let me start with the nbc poll here. this is president obama and mitt romney head-to-head. this is president obama leading in florida, virginia by an identical margin 44% in ohio, the president's lead there small, how is the white house reading this, good news or great news? >> any poll showing the president leading in the swing states is good news for the white house, but at the same time what you're seeing with this particular poll is also that mitt romney has been closing the gap, i think. a few months ago the president was leading by bigger margins. what that means is mitt romney is successful in consolidating support among the base since the primary has ended. and i think when it all comes down to it, the white house sees it as a dead heat. we are still fairly early but a lot of people are not completely focusing in on this. the way the white house looks at these things is it could be good news, but we have a long campaign and things will change. let's not get too excited. >> david, can mitt romney pick up 270 votes to become president of the united states without winn
. >> let me start with the nbc poll here. this is president obama and mitt romney head-to-head. this is president obama leading in florida, virginia by an identical margin 44% in ohio, the president's lead there small, how is the white house reading this, good news or great news? >> any poll showing the president leading in the swing states is good news for the white house, but at the same time what you're seeing with this particular poll is also that mitt romney has been closing...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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romney up by 4 points in the pew poll. in the swing states, mr. romney leading in colorado by 4. mr. obama leading in pennsylvania by 2, the right poll showing a tie in nevada. the president up in new hampshire by 6 points. and really the one poll we waited on all day, the one poll that might matter more than any other single piece of data, the one piece we got today, president obama holding on to a 4-point lead in ohio. let's poll this one out. this is a cnn number from this afternoon. barack obama with an edge of 4 points in ohio, which is just outside the margin of error. it's far less than the 9-point leads in the survey not long ago. i should say to democrats and obama supporters, i'm sorry if i unleashed those numbers on you with a mature content warning label. but my friend e.j. dionne will be with us later. he says, i was talking with an old friend who was one of the nonpartisan polling outfits. we were discussing the large shifts in some of the polls on the presidential election and the feedback he receives whenever he puts out new numbers that make one side or the other
romney up by 4 points in the pew poll. in the swing states, mr. romney leading in colorado by 4. mr. obama leading in pennsylvania by 2, the right poll showing a tie in nevada. the president up in new hampshire by 6 points. and really the one poll we waited on all day, the one poll that might matter more than any other single piece of data, the one piece we got today, president obama holding on to a 4-point lead in ohio. let's poll this one out. this is a cnn number from this afternoon. barack...
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Aug 22, 2012
08/12
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o dealing with new poll numbers that show romney made little traction with voters despite hundreds of millions of dollars spent on his behalf. joining us now is msnbc political analyst richard wolffe and nbc news deputy political director montenero. can you give us a broad view of what these numbers mean as far as romney is concerned and the president? >> we know head-to-head it is president obama up 48-44. we can see there is a clear advantage for president obama heading into the convention. this is just a couple of ticks up from -- in tightening from where it was last month where obama was up six points, a few -- little bit of change with the party i.d. in there. so some will talk about that. but, you know, romney still has a lot of work to do on likability. and issues like that that, you know, really set the stage for what we are seeing. >> he's not doing too well with african-americans, 94-0. latinos, 2-1. 52-41 voters under 35. 51-41. it has not been a magnificent few months. >> well, look, i mean the fact of the matter is our pollsters tell us that romney is -- has about 13 is p
o dealing with new poll numbers that show romney made little traction with voters despite hundreds of millions of dollars spent on his behalf. joining us now is msnbc political analyst richard wolffe and nbc news deputy political director montenero. can you give us a broad view of what these numbers mean as far as romney is concerned and the president? >> we know head-to-head it is president obama up 48-44. we can see there is a clear advantage for president obama heading into the...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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there's a big gap like in the gallup poll where romney has been leading. they are a lot more than the registered voter model. >> a difference of enthusiasm. >> it is. the broader the electorate is. the more people vote, the better chances are for democrats. the whole thing with the voter i.d. laws that have been passed the last few years about republicans limiting the opportunity for that electorate to expand. to put the electorate in a friendly mix for republicans. it's the same if you make provisional regulations more stringent, that will favor lower turnout. that's going to favor a narrower turnout. that's going to favor a more republican friendly, you know, mix of voters. if you cut early voting, have really long lines, i don't know, 10%, 15% of the people who show up in the lines say i don't want to wait six hours or i can't wait six hours. that's a smaller electorate. those are generally, you know, there's a better chance a lot of the areas are democratic voters than republican voters. if you look at it that way, republicans look at the likely voter
there's a big gap like in the gallup poll where romney has been leading. they are a lot more than the registered voter model. >> a difference of enthusiasm. >> it is. the broader the electorate is. the more people vote, the better chances are for democrats. the whole thing with the voter i.d. laws that have been passed the last few years about republicans limiting the opportunity for that electorate to expand. to put the electorate in a friendly mix for republicans. it's the same if...
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Nov 5, 2012
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two of them show mitt romney leading. the website realclearpolitics does an average of all the polling on colorado, and their average right now has president obama up in colorado by 0.6%. 0.6. which means that the race for president in colorado is a tie right now. this is a person whose job it is to oversee elections in colorado. guy at the podium there. this is the person who largely decides how easy or how difficult to make voting in colorado. he is the person to decide whether or how to count the votes. he is the top elections official in a very close swing state. and you should get to know him. that's coming up. questions? anyone have occasional constipation, diarrhea, gas, bloating? yeah. one phillips' colon health probiotic cap each day helps defend against these digestive issues with three strains of good bacteria. approved! [ phillips' lady ] live the regular life. phillips'. you walk into a conventional mattress store, it's really not about you. we have so much technology in our store to really show the customers
two of them show mitt romney leading. the website realclearpolitics does an average of all the polling on colorado, and their average right now has president obama up in colorado by 0.6%. 0.6. which means that the race for president in colorado is a tie right now. this is a person whose job it is to oversee elections in colorado. guy at the podium there. this is the person who largely decides how easy or how difficult to make voting in colorado. he is the person to decide whether or how to...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that poll in iowa shows a gain for mr. obama, a 5-point gain. in florida, the same poll shows a 4-point swing for romney. he's up by 2 points. so the major fall or minor lift, however, you rattle the number lose, as the overall national polling shifts and the swing state races shift with them, the state where the romney campaign is hoping for the biggest shift of all is in ohio. in modern political history, ohio has been the path to the presidency for republican candidates. if republican candidates win ohio, they win the white house. if mitt romney doesn't win ohio,
in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that...
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Oct 12, 2012
10/12
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. >> the poll numbers for romney and ryan soaring after the first presidential debate. democrats openly counting on joe biden tonight to stop that republican momentum. >> osama bin laden is dead and general motors is arrive. >> the 2012 vice presidential debate starts right now. >>> happy debate night, everybody. the best television series of 2011 was the republican primary debates. there were 1 million of them. they played to huge audiences week after week and never disappointed. now it is october 2012 and the most compelling thing on television anywhere in the country is once again the debates. only now there are only two candidates at a time and the stakes are way higher. i'm rachel maddow. here on our msnbc headquarters in new york. i'm joined by ed schultz, reverend al sharpton, chris hayes, steve schmidt. lawrence o'donnell is our man in the spin room tonight. the one and only chris matthews is at centre college in danville, kentucky, the site of tonight's debate. chris, is this unusually high stakes for a vice presidential debate? >> well, it's great being with y
. >> the poll numbers for romney and ryan soaring after the first presidential debate. democrats openly counting on joe biden tonight to stop that republican momentum. >> osama bin laden is dead and general motors is arrive. >> the 2012 vice presidential debate starts right now. >>> happy debate night, everybody. the best television series of 2011 was the republican primary debates. there were 1 million of them. they played to huge audiences week after week and never...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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the latest polling shows mixed results. the pew poll has romney up by four. gallup's daily tracking has the president up by five. what does that mean? >> yeah, first of all, you know, you always take one poll in isolation or even two can be problematic. the best thing always on these is to look there's a few sites that do polling averages, real clear politics, "huffington post," they average all the different polls and put them together. if you want to look at these two right now, they might kind of both be true and it's because of this. the gallup one measures seven days. it's still got a number of predebate days there when oen was ahead. it's got the immediate post debate when romney seems to have pulled even or taken the lead in the two or three days immediately after. >> immediately after. >> what gallup also showed apparently in the last day that's included in the seven days, there was ho movement back towards obama. there was an end to the movement toward romney. so that's why he went from three ahead in the seven-day track yesterday to five ahead in th
the latest polling shows mixed results. the pew poll has romney up by four. gallup's daily tracking has the president up by five. what does that mean? >> yeah, first of all, you know, you always take one poll in isolation or even two can be problematic. the best thing always on these is to look there's a few sites that do polling averages, real clear politics, "huffington post," they average all the different polls and put them together. if you want to look at these two right...
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Jan 21, 2012
01/12
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romney's poll numbers. the latest polling out of south carolina hours before voting due to begin. newt gingrich has opened up a six-point lead over mr. romney in the clemson palmetto poll. this is what it looks like on the national level. mitt romney beginning to see poll numbers, what was that word, collapse. while newt gingrich is on the rise. if you ask me, i think you can't discount the fact newt gingrich spent millions of dollars against mitt romney in south carolina and that matters. but it is also the collapse of the basic justification for mitt romney. newt gingrich is killing mitt romney in the debates. two this week. supposed to be another one in florida on monday. mr. romney today making sounds about potentially not showing up for the monday debate in florida. the romney campaign kicking a whole contingent of press off their campaign plane today. the romney campaign warning supporters they expect to lose tomorrow. in 2008, john mccain kicked mitt romney's butt. this year, none of these other republican candidates is john mccain. but could mitt romney still be beaten the
romney's poll numbers. the latest polling out of south carolina hours before voting due to begin. newt gingrich has opened up a six-point lead over mr. romney in the clemson palmetto poll. this is what it looks like on the national level. mitt romney beginning to see poll numbers, what was that word, collapse. while newt gingrich is on the rise. if you ask me, i think you can't discount the fact newt gingrich spent millions of dollars against mitt romney in south carolina and that matters. but...
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Oct 12, 2012
10/12
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that indicate a closing of the gender gap with mitt romney running better now in the polls anyway with women? >> i've seen different polls. i think polls are all over the map right now. i do this this is what women were needing to hear tonight. what are the differences on particular issues. i actually think what we'll see after this is, again, this gender gap that's been very strong in favor of the president. i think we'll continue to see it to grow. >> thanks for joining us tonight. >> good to see you. >> rachel, back to you. >> thank you, lawrence. there's been a snap poll in terms of results from tonight's debate. cbs news did a flash poll of uncommitted voters on who they think won tonight's debate. 19% of those voters said the debate was a tie. 31% say that paul ryan won. 50% say that vice president biden won. we're going to be joined in a moment -- we've talked to a couple of people who are functioning as surrogates for the obama campaign tonight. we're going to be speaking with a supporter of ryan and romney in just a moment, congresswoman marsha blackburn in a moment. while we
that indicate a closing of the gender gap with mitt romney running better now in the polls anyway with women? >> i've seen different polls. i think polls are all over the map right now. i do this this is what women were needing to hear tonight. what are the differences on particular issues. i actually think what we'll see after this is, again, this gender gap that's been very strong in favor of the president. i think we'll continue to see it to grow. >> thanks for joining us...
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Oct 20, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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notice most of the polls in ohio show mitt romney down. so you can have a situation where barack obama wins the electoral college and mitt romney wins the popular vote. it's only happened three times in history. >> how certain are you that could happen? >> the odds aren't great. virginia is in a central state and in a clear politics average mitt romney tied or has gone ahead of barack obama. everybody's watching which is with the, when 2.5, 3 points and new hampshire and iowa are still in play. only a half dozen states and romney has a clear advantage in the popular vote. but in those six key states he's either tied or losing. >> talk about the women's vote. they've seen fascinating movement here. in florida, for example, we talked about it a few momentses ago, a big jump there. what do you make of that and do you see this as a trend across the country? >> it is a trend. and the women and particularly women age 30 to 49, under age 30 they're solidly in obama's campbell. over age 50, in mitt romney's camp. the campaigns are fighting over th
notice most of the polls in ohio show mitt romney down. so you can have a situation where barack obama wins the electoral college and mitt romney wins the popular vote. it's only happened three times in history. >> how certain are you that could happen? >> the odds aren't great. virginia is in a central state and in a clear politics average mitt romney tied or has gone ahead of barack obama. everybody's watching which is with the, when 2.5, 3 points and new hampshire and iowa are...
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Oct 7, 2012
10/12
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before mitt romney's well reviewed debate performances, an nbc-wall street journal poll found obama leading romney 51% to 43% among likely ohio voters. can a debate change ohio's democratic drift? the state's attorney general mike dewine and former governor ted strickland are next. there's big news. presenting androgel 1.62%. both are used to treat men with low testosterone. androgel 1.62% is from the makers of the number one prescribed testosterone replacement therapy. it raises your testosterone levels, and... is concentrated, so you could use less gel. and with androgel 1.62%, you can save on your monthly prescription. [ male announcer ] dosing and application sites between these products differ. women and children should avoid contact with application sites. discontinue androgel and call your doctor if you see unexpected signs of early puberty in a child, or, signs in a woman which may include changes in body hair or a large increase in acne, possibly due to accidental exposure. men with breast cancer or who have or might have prostate cancer, and women who are, or may become pregnant o
before mitt romney's well reviewed debate performances, an nbc-wall street journal poll found obama leading romney 51% to 43% among likely ohio voters. can a debate change ohio's democratic drift? the state's attorney general mike dewine and former governor ted strickland are next. there's big news. presenting androgel 1.62%. both are used to treat men with low testosterone. androgel 1.62% is from the makers of the number one prescribed testosterone replacement therapy. it raises your...
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Apr 26, 2012
04/12
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maybe they haven't done enough polling on it. you can say the republican party in general is kind of adrift when it comes to foreign policy in part because obama has done such a great job of co-opting a lot of the positions and policies of the republican party in his view of american strength and power. and of course, i probably don't need to remind you that he has not even closed gitmo yet. his foreign policy, people who are conservative more than they are for the republican party, talk about very favorably. it will be a real problem in the fall to try to differentiate that. >> you may recall almost a year ago, romney gave a speech in las vegas as the libyan uprising began. when reporters tried to ask him questions about libya, he fled down a hallway and escaped up an escalator, according to the las vegas review journal. is that his basic approach? i think we can call that the romney doctrine. >> escalator. >> and out of the building. i want to take a little issue with my friend ana marie. i think obama's foreign policy was diff
maybe they haven't done enough polling on it. you can say the republican party in general is kind of adrift when it comes to foreign policy in part because obama has done such a great job of co-opting a lot of the positions and policies of the republican party in his view of american strength and power. and of course, i probably don't need to remind you that he has not even closed gitmo yet. his foreign policy, people who are conservative more than they are for the republican party, talk about...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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one of the things our polling has shown is that mitt romney has better favorable ratings than the republican party overall. the democratic party has better favorable ratings than the republican party overall. i think there's a case to be made, if mitt romney does not win this election, there will be people pointing fingers at him. i think the fault lies with the republican party, took its image took a turn to the right as far as some voters are concerned in the middle. that romney himself should be able to win. >> can i -- voters vote for people, not parties. so romney, romney's on the ticket, not the republican party. >> i don't know. >> i want to defend gray-faced guys with $2 haircuts. >> where do you get a $2 haircut? >> the crucial gap is a marriage gap. republicans and mitt romney are doing better by almost 20 points among married people, including married women. democrats and barack obama are doing better than 20 points among single women. so that's the crucial gap here. and so that is a question of, that's how you tailor who you're trying to get. and the republicans are doing extreme
one of the things our polling has shown is that mitt romney has better favorable ratings than the republican party overall. the democratic party has better favorable ratings than the republican party overall. i think there's a case to be made, if mitt romney does not win this election, there will be people pointing fingers at him. i think the fault lies with the republican party, took its image took a turn to the right as far as some voters are concerned in the middle. that romney himself...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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case in point, this afternoon's gallup poll showing the president leading mitt romney 49% to 46% among registered voters. among likely voters it's romney up by two leading the president 49% to 47%. folks, this is a tight race as both candidates are keenly aware. romney began in iowa, one of the states that could prove crucial to his hopes for a path to 270 electoral votes. and he was introduced by his son, josh, who had an interesting take on romney's debate preparation. >> we'd say the same lie over and over and my dad learned then not to believe it. so while we didn't go to any of the formal debate preparation, we did the real hard stuff. as a father, he learned how to debate an obstinate child. >> kicking it off by suggesting the president is an obstinate child. that's great, mr. romney. what do you have for sale? >> i am going to put a cap on regulation and any new major regulation will have to be approved by congress. i'm not letting the politicians off the hook. >> absolutely, he's not letting politicians off the hook, just wall street, k street, polluters, abusers, everyone else
case in point, this afternoon's gallup poll showing the president leading mitt romney 49% to 46% among registered voters. among likely voters it's romney up by two leading the president 49% to 47%. folks, this is a tight race as both candidates are keenly aware. romney began in iowa, one of the states that could prove crucial to his hopes for a path to 270 electoral votes. and he was introduced by his son, josh, who had an interesting take on romney's debate preparation. >> we'd say the...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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poll, showing romney up five nationally. in the battleground states. it is the battle ground poll is the name of it, a national poll, if those polls are correct, it is difficult to imagine that ohio would be that different. ohio has closely tracked the national outcome since 1960. it is certainly true and worth noting that mitt romney does not now lead in a single ohio poll. but i can't believe that national poll wouldn't tell you something about how iowa will go if the polls are correct. >>juan: the moment is stopped. obviously, mitt romney hat momentum after the first debate but what we are looking at if you just, say, forget the complexity we can hear, romney has never led in ohio or nevada, wisconsin, iowa, never. so what you get here is a situation where at the moment he is trying to perpetuate the momentum by coming on with the argument that he is moderate mitt. it is tick or treat for the halloween season, what is the real mitt but he wants to be, that is the drive he is making for the few voters that remain. he is no
poll, showing romney up five nationally. in the battleground states. it is the battle ground poll is the name of it, a national poll, if those polls are correct, it is difficult to imagine that ohio would be that different. ohio has closely tracked the national outcome since 1960. it is certainly true and worth noting that mitt romney does not now lead in a single ohio poll. but i can't believe that national poll wouldn't tell you something about how iowa will go if the polls are correct....
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Sep 20, 2012
09/12
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romney currently holding a three-point lead. that is a rasmussen poll. in virginia, it's president obama up by seven. in florida, it's president obama up by five. in colorado, it's president obama up by one. in wisconsin, it's president obama up by six. in michigan, it's obama by eight. in ohio, it's obama by seven. and while it is those state-by-state numbers in the swing states that are the most important way to understand the math of who's going to win on election night, obviously, the biggest big picture snapshot that we can take of the race is still just the straight national poll. the latest gallup daily tracking poll out shows president obama today with a slim one-point lead. that's down from six points just after the democratic convention. the latest national poll from nbc news that was released yesterday shows the national lead for mr. obama at five points. also of note in the nbc poll, the percentage of people who say the country is headed in the right direction is now at the highest level in this poll since 2009. the very latest national poll
romney currently holding a three-point lead. that is a rasmussen poll. in virginia, it's president obama up by seven. in florida, it's president obama up by five. in colorado, it's president obama up by one. in wisconsin, it's president obama up by six. in michigan, it's obama by eight. in ohio, it's obama by seven. and while it is those state-by-state numbers in the swing states that are the most important way to understand the math of who's going to win on election night, obviously, the...
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Oct 12, 2012
10/12
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CNBC
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when we come back, jim cramer on the stocks going up faster than mitt romney's poll numbers because of mitt romney's poll numbers. >> up next, a republican with a different view of thou fix america's fiscal mess. david stockman served in the reagan administration but he's not talking tax cuts, quite the opposite. larry kudlow will take him on. we count you down to the vice presidential debate in danville, kentucky. two years ago, the people of bp made a commitment to the gulf. and every day since, we've worked hard to keep it. bp has paid over twenty-three billion dollars to help people and businesses who were affected, and to cover cleanup costs. today, the beaches and gulf are open for everyone to enjoy -- and many areas are reporting their best tourism seasons in years. we've shared what we've learned with governments and across the industry so we can all produce energy more safely. i want you to know, there's another commitment bp takes just as seriously: our commitment to america. bp supports nearly two-hundred-fifty thousand jobs in communities across the country. we hired three
when we come back, jim cramer on the stocks going up faster than mitt romney's poll numbers because of mitt romney's poll numbers. >> up next, a republican with a different view of thou fix america's fiscal mess. david stockman served in the reagan administration but he's not talking tax cuts, quite the opposite. larry kudlow will take him on. we count you down to the vice presidential debate in danville, kentucky. two years ago, the people of bp made a commitment to the gulf. and every...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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the latest poll from american research group has romney leading 50% to 46%. last month the same survey had obama leading. so here is david sirota who is author of "back to our future," and cohost of a radio show. and he really knows what people are saying and things. welcome back inside "the war room." >> thanks for having me. >> jennifer: president obama was doing great until the debate in denver. what did you folks do to our president? >> i think this race was always fluid out here in colorado. there is a huge number of latino voters in this state, and mitt romney is doing terribly among latino voters. i think this will be definitely a turnout election. it is going to be a 2008 turnout or '2010 turnout, and what does that actually look like, and it's really anybody's guess right now. and i would say this, one thing that i think democrats can be -- can feel good about is that senator michael bennett was actually ail to win a closely contested u.s. senate seat in 2010? a bad year for democrats nationally. so colorado is hard to predict. >> jennifer: what are
the latest poll from american research group has romney leading 50% to 46%. last month the same survey had obama leading. so here is david sirota who is author of "back to our future," and cohost of a radio show. and he really knows what people are saying and things. welcome back inside "the war room." >> thanks for having me. >> jennifer: president obama was doing great until the debate in denver. what did you folks do to our president? >> i think this...
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in the battleground poll, it increased by a third. over this period in time. the president's credentials on foreign policy are well-established and what's different about the president and mitt romney is the president has a record and he doesn't play politics with foreign policy. and i think that provides a great deal of security to voters. voters also rank the president as ahead of mitt romney on strong leadership. and that strong leadership is highly correlated with the decisive actions he's taken in foreign policy whether it is getting us out of iraq or finding osama bin laden or waiting to get the information before you incorrectly shoot from the hip which is what mitt romney did about libya. >> jennifer: that october surprise won't work. who knows if there is another one. there is a debate coming up tomorrow. 38% of voters say the upcoming debates actually are going to be important in helping their vote, make their vote. 38% according to this new nbc news "wall street journal" poll. have people really -- 38% not made up their minds? >> you know, it is a r
in the battleground poll, it increased by a third. over this period in time. the president's credentials on foreign policy are well-established and what's different about the president and mitt romney is the president has a record and he doesn't play politics with foreign policy. and i think that provides a great deal of security to voters. voters also rank the president as ahead of mitt romney on strong leadership. and that strong leadership is highly correlated with the decisive actions he's...